← Major League Baseball 2026 · Fri, Aug 28, 11:40 PM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.60 won leg 2: Cleveland Guardians win in Cleveland Guardians v Kansas City Royals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 lost leg 3: Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.52 lost | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 7.22 | $12.44 | +31% | -2.00 | lost |
Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.60 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.60 | $5.96 | +8% | +5.96 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers win | 61% | 1.60 |
| Texas Rangers win | 39% | 46.79 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers win | 2.34 | 46.79 | +1897.6% | |
| Milwaukee Brewers win | 1.52 | 1.56 | +2.0% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | 6 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Milwaukee Brewers | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1584.03 | 1478.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.29 | -3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 1.02 | 2.00 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 4.10 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 6.60 | 3.80 |