← Major League Baseball 2026 · Mon, Aug 24, 11:40 PM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Chicago White Sox win in Chicago White Sox v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 lost leg 2: Washington Nationals win in Washington Nationals v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.57 won leg 3: Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Tampa Bay Rays · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.14 lost | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 6.03 | $10.06 | +23% | -2.00 | lost |
Chicago White Sox win in Chicago White Sox v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.79 | $7.94 | +5% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox win | 53% | 46.79 |
| Texas Rangers win | 47% | 2.14 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers win | 1.97 | 2.10 | +6.4% | |
| Chicago White Sox win | 1.73 | 46.79 | +2600.9% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 |
| Chicago White Sox | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chicago White Sox | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1504.28 | 1479.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.11 | -2.78 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 1.23 | 1.21 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.60 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 2.40 |