← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sat, Aug 15, 01:40 AM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Kansas City Royals win in Los Angeles Angels v Kansas City Royals · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.19 lost leg 2: Texas Rangers win in Oakland Athletics v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.90 lost leg 3: San Diego Padres win in Cleveland Guardians v San Diego Padres · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.14 lost | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 8.87 | $15.74 | +21% | -2.00 | lost |
Texas Rangers win in Oakland Athletics v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.90 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.90 | $8.96 | +6% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers win | 52% | 4.13 |
| Oakland Athletics win | 48% | 2.09 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers win | 1.70 | 4.13 | +142.2% | |
| Oakland Athletics win | 2.01 | 1.26 | -37.2% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Oakland Athletics | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — | 8 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oakland Athletics | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1412.09 | 1484.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.78 | -12.58 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 2.27 | 0.98 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 7.40 | 3.70 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.20 |