← Major League Baseball 2026 · Tue, Aug 11, 01:38 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: MacKenzie Gore (ERA 4.55, WHIP 1.24) · home: Reid Detmers (ERA 4.12, WHIP 1.1)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.60 won leg 2: Texas Rangers win in Los Angeles Angels v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.87 won leg 3: Philadelphia Phillies win in St. Louis Cardinals v Philadelphia Phillies · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.00 won | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 5.98 | $9.97 | +27% | +9.97 | won |
Texas Rangers win in Los Angeles Angels v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.87 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.87 | $8.70 | +5% | +8.70 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers win | 53% | 2.59 |
| Los Angeles Angels win | 47% | 3.52 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers win | 1.73 | 1.69 | -2.7% | |
| Los Angeles Angels win | 2.01 | 2.10 | +4.5% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Los Angeles Angels | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1413.97 | 1492.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.83 | 6.34 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 1.33 | 1.29 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.70 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 3.50 |