← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sat, Aug 1, 02:10 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Ranger Suarez (ERA 3.02, WHIP 1.15)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Milwaukee Brewers win in Los Angeles Angels v Milwaukee Brewers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.67 won leg 2: Los Angeles Dodgers win in Los Angeles Dodgers v Boston Red Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 lost leg 3: Chicago Cubs win in Chicago Cubs v New York Yankees · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.97 won | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 5.92 | $9.84 | +34% | -2.00 | lost |
Los Angeles Dodgers win in Los Angeles Dodgers v Boston Red Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.79 | $7.94 | +12% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 57% | 34.00 |
| Boston Red Sox win | 43% | 2.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox win | 2.29 | 1.57 | -31.2% | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 1.55 | 17.85 | +1053.8% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Los Angeles Dodgers | Boston Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| elo | 1600.62 | 1544.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.96 | 7.12 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 1.02 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.10 |