Detroit Tigers v Colorado Rockies

← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sat, Sep 12, 05:10 PM UTC · scheduled

Probable pitchers: away: Tanner Gordon (ERA 5.4, WHIP 1.43)

Riding on this matchevery paper bet with a leg in this game

Bet	Strategy	Stake	Odds	To win	Model edge	P&L	Status
Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.70	Portfolio	$13.91	1.70	$9.78	+6%	—	pending
Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.70	Elo value MLB	$10.00	1.70	$7.03	+17%	—	pending

The betting picturemarket vs our model, market by market

“Market” = what bookmaker prices imply after removing their margin — the world's best guess. “Model” = our simulation. A bet is only interesting when the model sees something meaningfully more likely than the market does (the edge) — it's never about picking the winner.

Who wins?

Outcome	Market says	Best price
Detroit Tigers win	56%	1.70
Colorado Rockies win	44%	2.19

across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Price movement — Match winner (2-way)

Outcome	Trend	First	Now	Move
Colorado Rockies win		2.05	2.19	+6.6%
Detroit Tigers win		1.60	1.67	+5.0%

daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.