← Major League Baseball 2026 · Thu, Sep 3, 01:38 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Cam Schlittler (ERA 2.09, WHIP 0.97) · home: Reid Detmers (ERA 3.54, WHIP 1.07)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Yankees win in Los Angeles Angels v New York Yankees · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.62 | $6.21 | +6% | +6.21 | won |
New York Yankees win in Los Angeles Angels v New York Yankees · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 | Drought fade | $10.00 | 1.62 | $6.21 | +6% | +6.21 | won |
New York Yankees win in Los Angeles Angels v New York Yankees · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.62 | $6.21 | +6% | +6.21 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees win | 61% | 1.62 |
| Los Angeles Angels win | 39% | 34.00 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees win | 1.56 | 1.30 | -16.4% | |
| Los Angeles Angels win | 2.40 | 18.20 | +658.6% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Los Angeles Angels | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1419.99 | 1557.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.10 | 1.69 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.20 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.90 |