← Major League Baseball 2026 · Wed, Sep 2, 06:35 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Jacob Lopez (ERA 4.82, WHIP 1.46) · home: Cody Bradford (ERA 3.42, WHIP 1.52)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas Rangers win in Texas Rangers v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.60 | Drought fade | $10.00 | 1.60 | $5.96 | +5% | -10.00 | lost |
Texas Rangers win in Texas Rangers v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.60 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.60 | $5.96 | +5% | -10.00 | lost |
Texas Rangers win in Texas Rangers v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.60 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.60 | $5.96 | +4% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers win | 58% | 4.98 |
| Oakland Athletics win | 42% | 2.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Athletics win | 2.40 | 2.34 | -2.4% | |
| Texas Rangers win | 1.57 | 1.62 | +3.2% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Athletics | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Texas Rangers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Texas Rangers | Oakland Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1484.43 | 1401.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.20 | -12.67 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 5.70 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.50 |