← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Aug 9, 08:10 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Justin Wrobleski (ERA 3.31, WHIP 1.07) · home: Eduardo Rodriguez (ERA 2.71, WHIP 1.24)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.24 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 2.24 | $12.36 | +5% | +12.36 | won |
Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.24 | MLB dog variance | $10.00 | 2.24 | $12.36 | +5% | +12.36 | won |
Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.19 | Drought fade | $10.00 | 2.19 | $11.87 | +2% | +11.87 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 54% | 1.86 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks win | 46% | 2.24 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 1.70 | 1.67 | -1.7% | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks win | 2.01 | 2.24 | +11.3% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Arizona Diamondbacks | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 20.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1519.12 | 1578.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.67 | -10.02 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 0.83 | 0.83 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.10 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.70 |