← Major League Baseball 2026 · Wed, Jul 22, 08:07 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Hunter Dobbins (ERA 4.03, WHIP 1.39) · home: Reid Detmers (ERA 4.16, WHIP 1.12)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Louis Cardinals win in Los Angeles Angels v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.90 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.90 | $8.96 | +8% | +8.96 | won |
St. Louis Cardinals win in Los Angeles Angels v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.90 | Drought fade | $10.00 | 1.90 | $8.96 | +8% | +8.96 | won |
St. Louis Cardinals win in Los Angeles Angels v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.90 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.90 | $8.96 | +8% | +8.96 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels win | 51% | 1.90 |
| St. Louis Cardinals win | 49% | 2.14 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals win | 1.10 | 2.02 | +82.6% | |
| Los Angeles Angels win | 1.62 | 1.83 | +12.9% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Los Angeles Angels | St. Louis Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 12.00 | 14.00 |
| elo | 1429.33 | 1495.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.87 | -8.63 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.50 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.50 |