← Major League Baseball 2026 · Fri, Jul 17, 11:15 PM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Cincinnati Reds win in Colorado Rockies v Cincinnati Reds · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.97 leg 2: Texas Rangers win in Atlanta Braves v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.73 leg 3: Houston Astros win in Houston Astros v Baltimore Orioles · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.97 | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 10.61 | $19.22 | +35% | — | pending |
Texas Rangers win in Atlanta Braves v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.73 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 2.73 | $17.33 | +10% | -10.00 | lost |
Texas Rangers win in Atlanta Braves v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.73 | MLB dog variance | $10.00 | 2.73 | $17.33 | +10% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves win | 59% | 1.79 |
| Texas Rangers win | 41% | 2.73 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers win | 1.93 | 2.66 | +37.6% | |
| Atlanta Braves win | 1.79 | 1.48 | -17.5% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Atlanta Braves | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | — | 15 |