← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Sep 13, 08:05 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Bryce Miller (ERA 4.22, WHIP 1.14) · home: Jacob Lopez (ERA 4.78, WHIP 1.45)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oakland Athletics win in Oakland Athletics v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.29 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 2.29 | $12.88 | +7% | +12.88 | won |
Oakland Athletics win in Oakland Athletics v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.29 | MLB dog variance | $10.00 | 2.29 | $12.88 | +7% | +12.88 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners win | 57% | 1.76 |
| Oakland Athletics win | 43% | 2.34 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners win | 1.62 | 1.70 | +5.0% | |
| Oakland Athletics win | 2.19 | 2.24 | +2.3% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Oakland Athletics | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oakland Athletics | Seattle Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1415.97 | 1482.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.19 | 4.07 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.50 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.80 |