← Major League Baseball 2026 · Wed, Sep 9, 08:10 PM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas Rangers win in Seattle Mariners v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.34 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 2.34 | $13.42 | +6% | -10.00 | lost |
Texas Rangers win in Seattle Mariners v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.24 | MLB dog variance | $10.00 | 2.24 | $12.36 | +1% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners win | 57% | 1.79 |
| Texas Rangers win | 43% | 2.34 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers win | 2.14 | 2.34 | +9.5% | |
| Seattle Mariners win | 1.60 | 1.65 | +3.2% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Seattle Mariners | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Seattle Mariners | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1474.29 | 1485.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.20 | 6.71 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 4.80 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 6.10 |