← Major League Baseball 2026 · Wed, Sep 9, 11:05 PM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Yankees win in New York Yankees v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.48 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.48 | $4.80 | +13% | +4.80 | won |
New York Yankees win in New York Yankees v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.48 | Portfolio | $16.79 | 1.48 | $8.06 | +5% | +8.06 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees win | 66% | 1.50 |
| Colorado Rockies win | 34% | 3.10 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies win | 2.66 | 2.98 | +12.2% | |
| New York Yankees win | 1.48 | 1.42 | -4.1% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| New York Yankees | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | — | 6 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | New York Yankees | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1561.63 | 1388.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.70 | 1.26 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.90 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.50 |