← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Sep 6, 07:10 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Kyle Leahy (ERA 3.13, WHIP 1.31) · home: Tanner Gordon (ERA 5.18, WHIP 1.4)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Louis Cardinals win in Colorado Rockies v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.79 | $7.94 | +8% | +7.94 | won |
St. Louis Cardinals win in Colorado Rockies v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.79 | $7.94 | +8% | +7.94 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals win | 53% | 2.24 |
| Colorado Rockies win | 47% | 2.14 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals win | 1.65 | 1.76 | +7.0% | |
| Colorado Rockies win | 1.97 | 2.09 | +6.3% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| Colorado Rockies | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Colorado Rockies | St. Louis Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1392.40 | 1492.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.38 | 5.33 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 0.79 | 0.79 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 6.10 |