← Major League Baseball 2026 · Fri, Sep 4, 01:40 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Jack Perkins (ERA 6.42, WHIP 1.49) · home: Kade Anderson (ERA 4.5, WHIP 1.3)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seattle Mariners win in Seattle Mariners v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.53 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.53 | $5.30 | +1% | -10.00 | lost |
Seattle Mariners win in Seattle Mariners v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.53 | Drought fade | $10.00 | 1.53 | $5.30 | +1% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners win | 60% | 5.25 |
| Oakland Athletics win | 40% | 6.74 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Athletics win | 2.62 | 1.19 | -54.6% | |
| Seattle Mariners win | 1.48 | 4.89 | +230.8% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Athletics | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| Seattle Mariners | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Seattle Mariners | Oakland Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1488.48 | 1407.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.98 | -5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 1.23 | 1.30 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 6.50 | 5.60 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.00 |