← Major League Baseball 2026 · Wed, Sep 2, 07:10 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Trevor Rogers (ERA 4.38, WHIP 1.25) · home: Tomoyuki Sugano (ERA 5.23, WHIP 1.36)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Baltimore Orioles win in Colorado Rockies v Baltimore Orioles · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 | Drought fade | $10.00 | 1.62 | $6.21 | +2% | -10.00 | lost |
Baltimore Orioles win in Colorado Rockies v Baltimore Orioles · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.73 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.73 | $7.32 | +7% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles win | 58% | 1.73 |
| Colorado Rockies win | 42% | 4.31 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles win | 1.60 | 1.62 | +1.6% | |
| Colorado Rockies win | 2.24 | 2.34 | +4.7% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| Colorado Rockies | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Colorado Rockies | Baltimore Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1387.29 | 1506.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.18 | 4.85 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.10 |