← Major League Baseball 2026 · Wed, Sep 2, 01:38 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Gerrit Cole (ERA 3.19, WHIP 1.07) · home: Grayson Rodriguez (ERA 6.03, WHIP 1.52)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Yankees win in Los Angeles Angels v New York Yankees · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.57 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.57 | $5.71 | +3% | +5.71 | won |
New York Yankees win in Los Angeles Angels v New York Yankees · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.57 | Drought fade | $10.00 | 1.57 | $5.71 | +1% | +5.71 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees win | 63% | 1.62 |
| Los Angeles Angels win | 37% | 34.00 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees win | 1.55 | 1.07 | -30.9% | |
| Los Angeles Angels win | 2.34 | 20.63 | +780.6% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Los Angeles Angels | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1422.71 | 1555.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.10 | 0.81 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.30 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.50 |