← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Aug 30, 06:10 PM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 | Portfolio | $19.40 | 1.62 | $12.03 | +6% | -19.40 | lost |
Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.57 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.57 | $5.71 | +9% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers win | 60% | 2.89 |
| Texas Rangers win | 40% | 2.59 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers win | 2.46 | 2.41 | -2.2% | |
| Milwaukee Brewers win | 1.55 | 1.58 | +2.4% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Milwaukee Brewers | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1588.30 | 1473.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.52 | -5.23 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 0.79 | 0.79 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 4.70 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.50 |