← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Aug 30, 05:35 PM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Atlanta Braves win in Atlanta Braves v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.47 | Portfolio | $21.71 | 1.47 | $10.20 | +5% | +10.20 | won |
Atlanta Braves win in Atlanta Braves v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.42 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.42 | $4.19 | +7% | +4.19 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves win | 66% | 1.50 |
| Colorado Rockies win | 34% | 3.00 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies win | 2.73 | 2.89 | +5.9% | |
| Atlanta Braves win | 1.42 | 1.44 | +1.5% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Atlanta Braves | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Atlanta Braves | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1547.87 | 1385.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.54 | 5.90 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 0.89 | 0.89 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 5.60 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.50 |