← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sat, Aug 29, 11:15 PM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.63 | Portfolio | $18.15 | 1.63 | $11.43 | +6% | +11.43 | won |
Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.60 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.60 | $5.96 | +9% | +5.96 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers win | 59% | 1.65 |
| Texas Rangers win | 41% | 2.47 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers win | 2.29 | 2.40 | +4.9% | |
| Milwaukee Brewers win | 1.60 | 1.60 | +0.6% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | — | 5 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Milwaukee Brewers | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1586.49 | 1475.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.01 | -1.10 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 0.98 | 0.98 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 4.20 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 6.60 | 3.70 |