← Major League Baseball 2026 · Tue, Aug 25, 11:40 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Jacob deGrom (ERA 3.77, WHIP 1.13) · home: Anthony Kay (ERA 3.96, WHIP 1.33)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chicago White Sox win in Chicago White Sox v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.07 | Portfolio | $19.50 | 2.07 | $20.86 | +9% | +20.86 | won |
Chicago White Sox win in Chicago White Sox v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.83 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.83 | $8.27 | +7% | +8.27 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox win | 52% | 2.07 |
| Texas Rangers win | 48% | 10.45 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers win | 1.97 | 10.45 | +430.1% | |
| Chicago White Sox win | 1.79 | 1.08 | -39.8% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Chicago White Sox | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | 11 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chicago White Sox | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1498.43 | 1485.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.12 | 7.96 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.10 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.50 |