← Major League Baseball 2026 · Tue, Aug 25, 01:40 AM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oakland Athletics win in Oakland Athletics v Minnesota Twins · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.33 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 2.33 | $13.30 | +9% | -10.00 | lost |
Oakland Athletics win in Oakland Athletics v Minnesota Twins · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.24 | MLB dog variance | $10.00 | 2.24 | $12.36 | +3% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins win | 59% | 1.73 |
| Oakland Athletics win | 41% | 61.00 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins win | 1.67 | 1.22 | -26.9% | |
| Oakland Athletics win | 2.19 | 31.95 | +1360.8% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| Oakland Athletics | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oakland Athletics | Minnesota Twins |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1410.46 | 1463.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.42 | -0.85 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 1.31 | 1.23 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 5.60 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.60 |