← Major League Baseball 2026 · Thu, Aug 20, 12:40 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Roki Sasaki (ERA 4.46, WHIP 1.29) · home: Kyle Freeland (ERA 6.27, WHIP 1.44)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles Dodgers win in Colorado Rockies v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.55 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.55 | $5.50 | +8% | +5.50 | won |
Los Angeles Dodgers win in Colorado Rockies v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.55 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.55 | $5.47 | +7% | +5.47 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 63% | 1.57 |
| Colorado Rockies win | 37% | 4.13 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 1.52 | 1.26 | -17.2% | |
| Colorado Rockies win | 2.52 | 4.13 | +63.6% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| Colorado Rockies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Colorado Rockies | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| elo | 1394.07 | 1575.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.38 | -1.68 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.50 |