← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Aug 16, 08:05 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Cody Bradford (ERA 2.38, WHIP 1.15) · home: Jacob Lopez (ERA 5.38, WHIP 1.56)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oakland Athletics win in Oakland Athletics v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.23 | Drought fade | $10.00 | 2.23 | $12.30 | +3% | +12.30 | won |
Oakland Athletics win in Oakland Athletics v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.23 | MLB dog variance | $10.00 | 2.23 | $12.30 | +3% | +12.30 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers win | 56% | 1.76 |
| Oakland Athletics win | 44% | 2.24 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers win | 1.57 | 1.73 | +10.3% | |
| Oakland Athletics win | 2.19 | 2.19 | 0.0% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Oakland Athletics | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | — | 5 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oakland Athletics | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1413.75 | 1482.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.68 | -12.87 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 6.60 | 3.90 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.40 |