← Major League Baseball 2026 · Fri, Aug 14, 02:07 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Jacob deGrom (ERA 3.87, WHIP 1.13) · home: Walbert Ureña (ERA 2.83, WHIP 1.29)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles Angels win in Los Angeles Angels v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.36 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 2.36 | $13.60 | +1% | +13.60 | won |
Los Angeles Angels win in Los Angeles Angels v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.36 | MLB dog variance | $10.00 | 2.36 | $13.60 | +1% | +13.60 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers win | 56% | 101.00 |
| Los Angeles Angels win | 44% | 2.36 |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers win | 1.61 | 51.34 | +3089.9% | |
| Los Angeles Angels win | 2.19 | 1.62 | -25.8% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — | 7 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Los Angeles Angels | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1417.13 | 1488.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.61 | -4.20 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.70 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.50 |