← Major League Baseball 2026 · Thu, Aug 13, 02:00 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Cal Quantrill (ERA 3.56, WHIP 1.19) · home: George Klassen (ERA 7.27, WHIP 2.88)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas Rangers win in Los Angeles Angels v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.79 | $7.90 | +2% | -10.00 | lost |
Los Angeles Angels win in Los Angeles Angels v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.24 | MLB dog variance | $10.00 | 2.24 | $12.36 | -2% | +12.36 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers win | 50% | 10.00 |
| Los Angeles Angels win | 50% | 2.40 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers win | 1.62 | 7.50 | +362.6% | |
| Los Angeles Angels win | 2.32 | 1.08 | -53.4% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | — | 5 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Los Angeles Angels | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1413.19 | 1492.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.98 | 1.59 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 1.02 | 1.02 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.70 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 3.70 |