← Major League Baseball 2026 · Wed, Jul 29, 02:10 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Luis Castillo (ERA 4.85, WHIP 1.33)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles Dodgers win in Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.54 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.54 | $5.40 | +4% | -10.00 | lost |
Los Angeles Dodgers win in Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.48 | Drought fade | $10.00 | 1.48 | $4.80 | +1% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 58% | 4.60 |
| Seattle Mariners win | 42% | 2.98 |
across 8 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners win | 2.46 | 1.29 | -47.3% | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 1.52 | 3.51 | +130.3% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Los Angeles Dodgers | Seattle Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 12.00 | 14.00 |
| elo | 1598.88 | 1507.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.96 | -9.90 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 2.35 | 1.32 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.70 |