← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Jul 26, 06:10 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Kyle Freeland (ERA 7.28, WHIP 1.56) · home: Jacob Misiorowski (ERA 1.57, WHIP 0.77)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.36 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.36 | $3.62 | +9% | +3.62 | won |
Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.36 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.36 | $3.62 | +9% | +3.62 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers win | 72% | 1.36 |
| Colorado Rockies win | 28% | 46.79 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies win | 3.29 | 3.54 | +7.8% | |
| Milwaukee Brewers win | 1.29 | 1.31 | +1.3% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — | 11 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Milwaukee Brewers | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| elo | 1579.95 | 1385.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.88 | -0.91 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 0.79 | 0.79 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.80 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.20 |