← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sat, Jul 25, 08:05 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Ryan Johnson (ERA 6.1, WHIP 1.43) · home: Robbie Ray (ERA 3.33, WHIP 1.3)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
San Francisco Giants win in San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.70 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.70 | $7.03 | +4% | +7.03 | won |
San Francisco Giants win in San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Angels · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.70 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.70 | $7.03 | +4% | +7.03 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants win | 55% | 1.76 |
| Los Angeles Angels win | 45% | 2.14 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels win | 2.05 | 2.05 | 0.0% | |
| San Francisco Giants win | 1.65 | 1.76 | +7.0% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| San Francisco Giants | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 9 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | San Francisco Giants | Los Angeles Angels |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| elo | 1473.20 | 1425.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.14 | 5.31 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 2.70 |