← Segunda División 2023 · Fri, Dec 8, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win | 54% | 1.82 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Zaragoza win | 20% | 5.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| RCD Espanyol de Barcelona −0.75 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Óscar Gil · RCD Espanyol de Barcelona |
| 52' | 🟨 | Pol Lozano · RCD Espanyol de Barcelona |
| 54' | ⚽ | Edu Expósito · RCD Espanyol de Barcelona |
| 57' | 🟥 | Fernando Calero · RCD Espanyol de Barcelona |
| 61' | 🟨 | Jair Amador · Zaragoza |
| 73' | ⚽ | Manu Vallejo · Zaragoza |
| 85' | 🟨 | Marc Aguado · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Toni Moya · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Stage Front Stadium |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 37.00 | 37.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.08 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1578.05 | 1500.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.32 | -31.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | — |
| league points | 31.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 7.02 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.64 | 25.66 |
| state index | 0.24 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |