← Major League Soccer 2026 · Wed, Jul 22, 11:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Vazquez
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Inter Miami win in Inter Miami v Chicago Fire · Match result @ 3.40 | Fade goal live | $5.00 | 3.40 | $12.00 | +44% | +12.00 | won |
Inter Miami win in Inter Miami v Chicago Fire · Match result @ 5.00 | Fade goal live | $5.00 | 5.00 | $20.00 | +93% | +20.00 | won |
Chicago Fire win in Inter Miami v Chicago Fire · Match result @ 2.38 | Mad game live | $216.67 | 2.38 | $297.92 | -54% | -216.67 | lost |
Inter Miami win in Inter Miami v Chicago Fire · Match result @ 2.60 | Mad game live | $197.92 | 2.60 | $316.67 | +65% | +316.67 | won |
| 18' | ⚽ (og) | Rocco Ríos Novo · Chicago Fire |
| 27' | ⚽ (pen) | Luis Suárez · Inter Miami |
| 51' | ⚽ | Luis Suárez · Inter Miami |
| 64' | 🟨 | Jack Elliott · Chicago Fire |
| 67' | ⚽ | Puso Dithejane · Chicago Fire |
| 87' | ⚽ | Preston Plambeck · Inter Miami |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergio Reguilón · Inter Miami |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Inter Miami | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.37 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 112.00 | 112.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) |
| venue | Nu Stadium |
| 6.80 |
| 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.06 |
| elo | 1697.02 | 1538.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.60 | -2.22 |
| eye test v1 | 2.33 | 1.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 1.23 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| league points | 31.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.46 |
| season ppg | 2.07 | 1.86 |
| skill v1 | 1.92 | 1.02 |
| solidity v1 | -1.55 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 7.70 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 28.50 | 28.39 |
| state index | 0.97 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.93 | 1.22 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 3.05 | 2.08 |