SC Corinthians Paulista v Clube do Remo

← Campeonato Brasileiro Série A 2026 · regular season · Thu, Jul 23, 10:30 PM UTC · scheduled

The betting picturemarket vs our model, market by market

“Market” = what bookmaker prices imply after removing their margin — the world's best guess. “Model” = our simulation. A bet is only interesting when the model sees something meaningfully more likely than the market does (the edge) — it's never about picking the winner.

Who wins? (90 minutes)

Outcome	Market says	Best price
SC Corinthians Paulista win	60%	1.58
Draw	25%	3.93
Clube do Remo win	15%	6.38

across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Will there be 3 or more goals?

Outcome	Market says	Best price
Under	53%	1.82
Over	47%	2.03

across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Will both teams score?

Outcome	Market says	Best price
No	54%	1.75
Yes	46%	2.02

across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Everything else we hold on this match · 3 more recorded facts — tap to expand

duration	REGULAR
stage	REGULAR_SEASON
venue	Neo Quimica Arena