← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Jul 5, 12:10 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: · home: Tomoyuki Sugano (ERA 4.8, WHIP 1.32)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
San Francisco Giants win in Colorado Rockies v San Francisco Giants · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.79 | $7.94 | +4% | +7.94 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Colorado Rockies win | 46% | 2.09 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Colorado Rockies | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Colorado Rockies | San Francisco Giants |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| elo | 1394.38 | 1469.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.11 | -6.35 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 7.30 | 3.50 |