← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sat, Jul 4, 08:05 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Jack Flaherty (ERA 4.97, WHIP 1.53) · home: Kumar Rocker (ERA 3.83, WHIP 1.34)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas Rangers win in Texas Rangers v Detroit Tigers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.76 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.76 | $7.63 | +1% | -10.00 | lost |
Texas Rangers win in Texas Rangers v Detroit Tigers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.76 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.76 | $7.63 | +1% | — | void |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers win | 54% | 1.76 |
| Detroit Tigers win | 46% | 2.09 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Texas Rangers | Detroit Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1508.77 | 1486.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.75 | 8.66 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.30 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 5.10 |