← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sat, Jul 4, 12:10 AM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Colorado Rockies win in Colorado Rockies v San Francisco Giants · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.34 | MLB dog variance | $10.00 | 2.34 | $13.40 | -2% | +13.40 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants win | 58% | 1.72 |
| Colorado Rockies win | 42% | 2.34 |
across 24 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants win | 1.65 | 1.65 | +0.4% | |
| Colorado Rockies win | 2.29 | 2.30 | +0.5% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Colorado Rockies | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | — | 15 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Colorado Rockies | San Francisco Giants |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| elo | 1387.75 | 1476.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.08 | 4.72 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 1.21 | 1.94 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 3.50 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 3.30 |