← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Sep 27, 07:10 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Andre Pallante (ERA 3.61, WHIP 1.24) · home: Jacob Misiorowski (ERA 1.86, WHIP 0.8)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.44 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.44 | $4.38 | +1% | +4.38 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers win | 67% | 1.46 |
| St. Louis Cardinals win | 33% | 23.43 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals win | 2.89 | 2.98 | +3.1% | |
| Milwaukee Brewers win | 1.42 | 1.41 | -0.3% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 6 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Milwaukee Brewers | St. Louis Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1601.52 | 1477.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.45 | -3.04 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 0.83 | 0.83 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.10 |