← Major League Baseball 2026 · Fri, Sep 25, 01:40 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Grayson Rodriguez (ERA 5.96, WHIP 1.54) · home: Bryan Woo (ERA 3.92, WHIP 1.08)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles Angels win in Seattle Mariners v Los Angeles Angels · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.66 | MLB dog variance | $10.00 | 2.66 | $16.59 | +0% | +16.59 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners win | 64% | 1.79 |
| Los Angeles Angels win | 36% | 2.81 |
across 7 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels win | 2.59 | 2.05 | -20.7% | |
| Seattle Mariners win | 1.45 | 1.79 | +23.7% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Seattle Mariners | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Seattle Mariners | Los Angeles Angels |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1475.91 | 1413.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.22 | -12.83 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 0.99 | 1.00 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.40 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.60 |