← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Sep 20, 08:10 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Matt Wilkinson (ERA 4.58, WHIP 1.12)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
San Francisco Giants win in Los Angeles Dodgers v San Francisco Giants · Match winner (2-way) @ 3.40 | MLB dog variance | $10.00 | 3.40 | $24.00 | -2% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 70% | 1.40 |
| San Francisco Giants win | 30% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants win | 3.18 | 3.29 | +3.4% | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 1.26 | 1.36 | +7.9% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Los Angeles Dodgers | San Francisco Giants |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1589.04 | 1462.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.27 | 1.14 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 0.79 | 0.79 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.50 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 6.30 | 4.70 |