← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Sep 20, 05:40 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Jack Perkins (ERA 6.14, WHIP 1.48) · home: Gavin Williams (ERA 3.78, WHIP 1.1)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cleveland Guardians win in Cleveland Guardians v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.50 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.50 | $5.02 | +1% | +5.02 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians win | 65% | 1.65 |
| Oakland Athletics win | 35% | 2.98 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Athletics win | 2.46 | 2.95 | +20.0% | |
| Cleveland Guardians win | 1.48 | 1.43 | -3.4% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Athletics | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cleveland Guardians | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cleveland Guardians | Oakland Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1508.55 | 1408.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.24 | -9.73 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 0.81 | 0.81 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 6.80 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 6.40 | 3.30 |