← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Sep 20, 12:10 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Bryce Miller (ERA 4.19, WHIP 1.16) · home: Gabriel Hughes (ERA 6.37, WHIP 1.45)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seattle Mariners win in Colorado Rockies v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.73 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.73 | $7.32 | +2% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners win | 56% | 1.76 |
| Colorado Rockies win | 44% | 4.98 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners win | 1.76 | 1.62 | -8.1% | |
| Colorado Rockies win | 2.01 | 2.36 | +17.4% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Colorado Rockies | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | — | 5 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Colorado Rockies | Seattle Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1374.51 | 1480.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.95 | -1.99 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 7.50 | 4.40 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 6.00 |