← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sat, Sep 19, 01:40 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Gerrit Cole (ERA 3.67, WHIP 1.13) · home: Eduardo Rodriguez (ERA 2.62, WHIP 1.22)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v New York Yankees · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.14 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 2.14 | $11.40 | +0% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees win | 55% | 1.90 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks win | 45% | 8.56 |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees win | 1.73 | 1.10 | -36.3% | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks win | 2.01 | 8.56 | +325.7% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Arizona Diamondbacks | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1510.30 | 1567.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.25 | -0.39 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.60 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.40 |