Minnesota Twins v New York Yankees

← Major League Baseball 2026 · Mon, Sep 14, 11:40 PM UTC · scheduled

Riding on this matchevery paper bet with a leg in this game

Bet	Strategy	Stake	Odds	To win	Model edge	P&L	Status
New York Yankees win in Minnesota Twins v New York Yankees · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.73	Elo value MLB	$10.00	1.73	$7.32	+5%	—	pending

The betting picturemarket vs our model, market by market

“Market” = what bookmaker prices imply after removing their margin — the world's best guess. “Model” = our simulation. A bet is only interesting when the model sees something meaningfully more likely than the market does (the edge) — it's never about picking the winner.

Who wins?

Outcome	Market says	Best price
New York Yankees win	55%	1.77
Minnesota Twins win	45%	2.19

across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Price movement — Match winner (2-way)

Outcome	Trend	First	Now	Move
New York Yankees win		1.67	1.73	+3.4%
Minnesota Twins win		2.01	2.15	+7.0%

daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.