← Major League Baseball 2026 · Mon, Sep 14, 10:40 PM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chicago White Sox win in Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.24 | MLB dog variance | $10.00 | 2.24 | $12.36 | -3% | +12.36 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians win | 57% | 1.73 |
| Chicago White Sox win | 43% | 2.35 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox win | 2.05 | 2.28 | +11.3% | |
| Cleveland Guardians win | 1.70 | 1.67 | -1.9% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| Cleveland Guardians | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cleveland Guardians | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1503.30 | 1489.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.49 | -10.48 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 1.19 | 1.18 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.40 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.50 |