Arizona Diamondbacks v Texas Rangers

← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Sep 13, 08:10 PM UTC · scheduled

Probable pitchers: away: Cal Quantrill (ERA 2.89, WHIP 1.06) · home: Eduardo Rodriguez (ERA 2.55, WHIP 1.2)

Riding on this matchevery paper bet with a leg in this game

Bet	Strategy	Stake	Odds	To win	Model edge	P&L	Status
Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.73	Elo value MLB	$10.00	1.73	$7.32	+4%	—	pending

The betting picturemarket vs our model, market by market

“Market” = what bookmaker prices imply after removing their margin — the world's best guess. “Model” = our simulation. A bet is only interesting when the model sees something meaningfully more likely than the market does (the edge) — it's never about picking the winner.

Who wins?

Outcome	Market says	Best price
Arizona Diamondbacks win	55%	1.73
Texas Rangers win	45%	2.29

across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Price movement — Match winner (2-way)

Outcome	Trend	First	Now	Move
Texas Rangers win		1.93	2.24	+15.8%
Arizona Diamondbacks win		1.70	1.67	-1.7%

daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.