← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Sep 13, 05:35 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Christian Scott (ERA 3.81, WHIP 1.29) · home: Cam Schlittler (ERA 2.01, WHIP 0.92)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Yankees win in New York Yankees v New York Mets · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.60 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.60 | $5.96 | +2% | +5.96 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees win | 62% | 1.62 |
| New York Mets win | 38% | 15.64 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets win | 2.34 | 2.54 | +8.4% | |
| New York Yankees win | 1.60 | 1.54 | -3.5% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| New York Yankees | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | New York Yankees | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1560.93 | 1505.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.71 | 14.39 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.80 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 7.80 |