Washington Nationals v Los Angeles Angels

← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sat, Sep 12, 08:05 PM UTC · scheduled

Probable pitchers: away: Walbert Ureña (ERA 2.74, WHIP 1.21) · home: Andrew Alvarez (ERA 3.6, WHIP 1.32)

Riding on this matchevery paper bet with a leg in this game

Bet	Strategy	Stake	Odds	To win	Model edge	P&L	Status
Washington Nationals win in Washington Nationals v Los Angeles Angels · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.76	Elo value MLB	$10.00	1.76	$7.63	+4%	—	pending

The betting picturemarket vs our model, market by market

“Market” = what bookmaker prices imply after removing their margin — the world's best guess. “Model” = our simulation. A bet is only interesting when the model sees something meaningfully more likely than the market does (the edge) — it's never about picking the winner.

Who wins?

Outcome	Market says	Best price
Washington Nationals win	54%	1.83
Los Angeles Angels win	46%	2.05

across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Price movement — Match winner (2-way)

Outcome	Trend	First	Now	Move
Los Angeles Angels win		1.97	2.01	+2.0%
Washington Nationals win		1.76	1.83	+3.6%

daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.