← Major League Baseball 2026 · Fri, Sep 11, 11:10 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Miguel Ullola (ERA 3.86, WHIP 0.86) · home: Drew Rasmussen (ERA 2.88, WHIP 0.91)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Houston Astros win in Tampa Bay Rays v Houston Astros · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.46 | MLB dog variance | $10.00 | 2.46 | $14.59 | +2% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays win | 62% | 1.61 |
| Houston Astros win | 38% | 2.59 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Astros win | 2.52 | 2.46 | -2.5% | |
| Tampa Bay Rays win | 1.55 | 1.57 | +1.5% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Astros | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |