← Major League Baseball 2026 · Wed, Sep 9, 07:45 PM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
San Francisco Giants win in San Francisco Giants v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.05 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 2.05 | $10.51 | +5% | +10.51 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals win | 53% | 2.19 |
| San Francisco Giants win | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals win | 1.67 | 1.83 | +9.1% | |
| San Francisco Giants win | 1.93 | 2.05 | +6.2% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| San Francisco Giants | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | — | 7 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | San Francisco Giants | St. Louis Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 21.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1467.09 | 1491.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.81 | -4.14 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 5.90 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 5.80 |