← Major League Baseball 2026 · Wed, Sep 9, 05:10 PM UTC
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Minnesota Twins · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.79 | $7.94 | +6% | +7.94 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers win | 55% | 1.81 |
| Minnesota Twins win | 45% | 6.29 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins win | 1.90 | 2.10 | +10.6% | |
| Detroit Tigers win | 1.79 | 1.76 | -1.8% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Detroit Tigers | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | — | 7 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Detroit Tigers | Minnesota Twins |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1489.58 | 1463.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.63 | -2.43 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 4.30 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.40 |